Election day and night are over and it’s now clear who will advance to the General Election in District 2: Nicole Crosby with 31.3% and Richard Bailey with 38.8%.
The two other top vote-getters were Josh Coyne with 11.3% and Mandy Havlik with 10.5%.
Here’s the latest numbers from the Registrar of Voters — with nearly 25% of the ballots counted:
Interestingly, the D2 race mirrored the state’s governor’s race: a Republican wins the top spot in the Primary but so many Democrats ran that their cumulative vote totals will overtake any GOP member at that top.
So, if one adds up Crosby’s numbers with Coyne’s and Havlik’s, you arrive at 12,557 — or 53.16% of the vote, clearly able to overpower Bailey’s 38.8% and 9100 votes — if all else remains the same come November.
Statement from Registrar:
Note: Some of the remaining outstanding ballots may be eligible for the “signature cure” process.
Before we certify an election, we must make sure every eligible vote is counted. For mail ballot envelopes returned with a missing or non-matching signature, voters are mailed a letter and given the opportunity to verify and provide their signature so their ballot can be counted. Once “cured” the ballot can be removed from the envelope and processed into the count. Voters have until June 24 to cure these situations.
All results are unofficial until completion of the official canvass and certification of the election which is expected to take place on or before July 2.
Summary:
The first set of unofficial election night results will appear shortly after 8 p.m., June 2. They will include mail ballots received before Election Day and vote center ballots from early voting between May 23 – June 1. This typically includes votes for qualified write-in candidates.
After the first unofficial report, election night updates will include vote center ballots cast on Election Day only. There will be no further updates to mail ballots on election night.
Once the vote centers close at 8 p.m. on election night, vote center ballots must be driven in from 219 vote centers located across the County of San Diego.
Periodic election night result updates will continue throughout the night until all vote center ballots are reported. It may take the Registrar’s office until midnight or later to tabulate all vote center ballots for the final unofficial election night results.
The next unofficial results update will be posted on the following schedule:By 6 p.m., Thursday, June 4 and Friday, June 5, By 6 p.m., Monday, June 8
Please note, additional updates will occur at the discretion of the Registrar of Voters with the date of the next posting prominently displayed at sdvote.com on the unofficial results bulletin.
After election night, voter turnout percentage will increase as timely and validly cast ballots, including mail and provisional ballots, are added into the count.
Mail ballots postmarked on Election Day and received by the Registrar’s office by June 9 will be considered timely cast.
I’ll cast one of the cumulative votes to NC so, Mr. Richter and your PAC, please stop the postcards and flyers stuffing my mailbox. Maybe direct some $$$ to the San Diego Food Bank or San Diego Unity Fund and do some good for the people of America’s Fiscal Pity suffering due to republican legislation which starts at the top with the president your candidate supports.
I certainly misread the D2 room.
Funny how party affiliation matters so prominently in an article about a San Diego City Council race. The tribalism runs strong.
I look at Coronado’s clean parks, low crime, and well-run public services and think “wouldn’t it be nice if we had those in San Diego?” That matters more to me than what tribal box someone checks.
It’s probably a lot easier to manage an island of 20,000 compared to a city of over 1 million people. I took my daughter to Coronado recently and at one point asked her: “notice anything about this place?” I thought she would notice that there is no visible homeless population compared to our neighborhood. Instead she answered, “there are no Black people here.” And……she was right.
Each SD City Council district has around 150k people. Maybe small-city accountability principles applied at the district level would be a good thing.
My kids noticed the clean parks with no junkie campsites, but I guess our kids see what we focus on. Btw Coronado is 5% black and San Diego is 7.5% black…both pretty low numbers.
I can’t imagine the Coronado candidate being the second choice of any Coyne or Havlik voter. No cake walk, but Nicole has to be considered the front-runner going into November.
Folks would do well to examine the role of the Mayor of Coronado to realize that Mr. Bailey is an empty suit being marketed by the political right as an accomplished municipal executive. He is not.
Coronado is a Council/Manager form of government and the Mayor is a part-time job with little more authority than any other member of the City Council. Compensation for the position is a hair more than $14,000/year, which reflects the actual real-world demand upon the position. The Mayor does not supervise any city employees. The City Manager reports to the full council.
There is no comparison between the work of the part-time Coronado Mayor and the work of a full-time San Diego City Councilmember. Coronado has population of just 20,000, while San Diego’s District 2 has close to 150,000. The City of Coronado employs 253 full-time workers, while the City of San Diego has a workforce of over 13,000.
There is no comparison between the two.
The median cost of housing in Coronado is almost three times that in San Diego. Median household income is 25% higher in Coronado than in San Diego.
In otherwords, Mr. Bailey’s part-time mayoral experience in Coronado is solely focused on serving wealthy households. He hasn’t any idea about how to represent the diverse constituency that makes up District 2.
In addition, he is a newcomer to the District, only moving into San Diego a few months ago. Meanwhile, Ms. Crosby is longtime Clairemont resident with a demonstrated record of service to the District and her community.
I hear you that Coronado mayor/councilman is different from San Diego councilman. But is it more relevant than a city attorney? I think so.
Ultimately this race boils down to whether you’re satisfied or dissatisfied with how San Diego has been run. The views of the candidates were sharply contrasted on measure A, which the city overwhelmingly voted against despite Crosby and the existing Council’s support (read her UT Q&A if in doubt). So it seems like the appetite for change is out there.
Who cares how long she has lived here? We finally have a candidate that has a proven record in government, not another democrat like Todd Gloria.
Very disappointing that the vote outcomes mirror where the money flows. And it also shows how little our citizens pay attention to the issues.
Mandy Havlik has done more for District 2 over the last 7 years than either Jen Campbell or any of the other candidates that she ran against.
But it all came down to the PAC money from Mr. Richter and the union money for Nicole Crosby.
Union people vote their pocketbook and jobs. To be expected. Was there anything preventing Mandy from spending more? The article makes the assumption of vote splitting by Dems costing Mandy more than GOPher PAC money.
I completely agree with you, Randi. A friend does analysis of political mailers and their messaging and can demonstrate a simple basic truth: the candidate with the most mailers wins, regardless of what is said thereon. Mailers cost money and Mandy, as an independent Democrat who has worked hard for our district, refused to sacrifice her values to earn the financial backing that Crosby and Bailey got.
Yes. The only campaign that actually stopped by my house was Havlik. Every other front runner just sent those hideous flyers and spammed me with their texts. Campaign finance laws are a joke.
People matter people wnt housing availability not idiotic hheught limits snd no – growth policies which eat up incimes and create mire homeless we need positive city council candidates who love care about people
No on Bailey
Leopard can’t change its spots; unless it fades away like the Cheshire Cat with only a cheap perfidious smile remaining.
I’ve voted Dem for decades, but it’s hard to unsee how years of one-party leadership have contributed to many of the problems we’re facing today. I’ll be voting differently going forward. We need to clean up our streets and our parks. Hopefully, residents who feel the same, turn out to vote. Voting for Bailey.
FYI, the Building Trades endorsed Crosby, so if she wins, prepare for another 4 years of land grabs without anyone to fight for us.
Here’s something to know about Bailey: Leo Hamel admitted under oath to a PPP loan scam (and many other crimes). The means he defrauded the government and yet Bailey sent a letter of support for him.
Do you really want to be represented by someone who supports people who defraud the government?
https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/2022/10/28/san-diego-jeweler-leo-hamel-sentenced-to-house-arrest-in-illegal-gun-buying-scheme/
Needed real housing not complasints about overbuilding that is why results occurred TUESDAY
Coyne was endorsed by Chris Ward and Scott Peters. Molina was endorsed by Todd Gloria, Jen Campbell, and Stephen Whitburn. And both were endorsed by YIMBY Democrats of SD. The political winds are shifting.
With the exception of the short term rentals owner/investors, virtually everyone else in D2 is desperate for a councilmember who will actually represent the constituents, Based on my interactions with her, I am fairly sure that Nicole Crosby will be all inclusive in her interactions with the residents in D2. And I agree that Bailey’s experience as mayor of Coronado bears little resemblance with being D2 councilmember that encompasses such a diverse set of communities. Crosby can achieve far more than Bailey ever could for us.
Interesting to see Bailey at the Republican gathering on election night. His supporters were pretty vocal about the D2 race being non-partisan. I suspect his “Independent” affiliation will fade away in the next few months as he gathers Republican supporters and money into the fold.
There is no independent party that will celebrate. The democrats certainly won’t. The Republicans are in his camp because he’s not a democrat. What would you have them do?
Notably, the change vote vastly outweighed the status quo vote. Even if all of Coyne voters back Crosby— a statistical impossibility— the remaining change voters are greater in number. And this is after the unions dropped at least $300k into a council district PRIMARY!
The people are pissed. Change is coming.
Not to mention one of the “change” agents got $400,000 from business groups and donors.
There will be more voters in the November election and we have months for the campaign to play out.
There were two candidates that wanted change and two that represented the policies that have placed San Diego in peril. Those two would not help the Peninsula and taxpayers.
To believe all of Havik voters will go to Crosby must be flawed. Those who voted for Havlik will have to decide if they want the change that she represented to San Diego or to trade in change for party affilition in a non-partisan race.
Havlik lost because of her toxic rhetoric. She pissed off the very people she needed to win a spot in the general.
The dynamics around the general election are currently pretty fluid. Both candidates have their work cut out for them. District 2 is overwhelmingly Democratic. Bailey’s well-documented right-wing roots will not serve him well in that.
“Toxic rhetoric?” Do tell.
C’mon Paul, you and I both know this is not a “non-partisan race,” that party affiliation and endorsement and money are realities that count. D2 is a blue district –and I maintain that the bulk of Havlik voters will vote the big D.
From the latest numbers, Crosby is only 5 percentage points behind Bailey.
As of Friday night, Crosby is only 3.35% behind Bailey.
This city has always been a ‘choose the least worst’ when it comes to county elections, and in military base San Diego that means one form or another of regressive so-called ‘conservative’ politics where the right wing wealthy get what they want at the expense of everyone else. It was that way when I was a kid growing up, and it’s been that way since I moved to the mountains as an adult.
But then so has the national elections for that matter, throughout my lifetime. The backlash from the uprising of the 1960/70s still reverberates in our politics, and continues to scare the hell out of our elite rulers.
Of which Trump is just the latest embodiment of the Deep State. Billionaires ARE the Deep State, you MAGA idiots!
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So if San Diego is lucky, the dark money that will be dumped into this coming November election by ‘Those-Wealthy-Pricks-That-Have-Always-Ruled-San-Diego’ will not quite succeed, though the other candidate is not the ‘status quo shaker upper’ that this city truly needs. Not by a long shot, but half a loaf is better than starving, eh?
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Bluntly, corporate welfare and greed destroy lives, states, and countries. It is what has happened to all former empires we know about, and the reality is that US is definitely facing the same end by the same kind of thinking that crashed all the others.
This is an old story for our species. Ten thousand years of crashing civilizations, 22 recognized by anthropologists and history professors at last count. The histories do, however, prove one thing; we’re really slow learners except in finding ways to kill one another and take their sh*t.
sealintheSelkirks
As of Monday night, 6/9, Crosby is only 1.25 percentage points behind Bailey.
Tuesday night, 500 votes behind.