The Race for San Diego Mayor Is in a Dead Heat

by on December 10, 2013 · 0 comments

in Election, Politics, San Diego


David Alvarez surges in the polls to within 1% of the lead.

New Poll has Alvarez at 46% only 1% behind Faulconer

By Brent E. Beltrán / San Diego Free Press

The race for mayor has gotten a lot closer as a new 10 News/San Diego Union Tribune poll has big business friendly Republican candidate, and maritime industry minion, Kevin Faulconer at 47% with surging District 8 councilman David Alvarez coming in at 46% with 7% undecided.

The poll, conducted by SurveyUSA, has a margin of error of +/- 4.4% making this race a statistical dead heat. See full poll data here.

The question that the pollsters asked was: If the runoff election for San Diego mayor were today, who would you vote for? Kevin Faulconer? Or David Alvarez?

Though polls funded by 10 News and the SDUT have historically been inaccurate in favor of Republicans (see last year’s mayor’s race when they had Carl DeMaio up by 5% over Bob Filner) it is very interesting to see a poll by them that actually shows positive numbers for the Democratic candidate.

A new SurveyUSA poll has the mayoral race statistically even.

A new SurveyUSA poll has the mayoral race statistically even.

With two months to go in the campaign this portends well for the Democratic challenger who recently came in second after beating out former Republican turned independent turned Democratic candidate Nathan Fletcher in a race to face Faulconer.

Alvarez campaign spokesman Stephen P. Heverly says, “We know this is just one snapshot of the race, but it certainly mirrors what we are hearing from voters we meet at the door. The momentum we saw going into the primary in November is clearly growing. Councilman Alvarez’s sound leadership and vision on jobs and neighborhood infrastructure is resonating with San Diegans.”

Groups like The Lincoln Club, the so-called San Diegans to Protect Jobs & the Economy (which uses the same address as The Lincoln Club), and the local Republican Party, headed by the abrasive Tony Krvaric, begged for a runoff with Alvarez. They put out tens of thousands of dollars worth of attack ads and mailers opposing Fletcher to get their wish for a runoff with Alvarez.

And it’s biting them in their hindquarters!

Local Republican power brokers underestimated the kid from the barrio and now they are going to have to ramp up their dirty tricks campaign to have any shot at beating him. It’s going to get foul as the Republicans will use every opportunity possible to attack Alvarez and what he stands for.

With the election scheduled for February 11, 2014 the Republican machine is preparing for perhaps the ugliest campaign San Diego has ever seen. They are all in on Faulconer and will resort to anything, including blatant lies and hatemongering, to get him elected.

A source inside the Alvarez campaign says they’re, “applying our thick skin and should be ready for some heavy hitting” by Faulconer’s surrogates. Let’s hope so as the little campaign that could is going to need some thick skin to ward off the oncoming Republican assault.

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